A separate disturbance now in the western Gulf of Mexico has a low chance of tropical storm formation – 10% – as it spreads showers toward the Texas Gulf Coast over the weekend.
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Meanwhile, forecasters are keeping an eye on a low-pressure system about 200 miles northwest of Puerto Rico, which could become a tropical system over the weekend. The Bahamas will likely see gusty winds and heavy rainfall, with Florida and the Keys getting the same miserable weather over the weekend. This tropical wave has only a 30% chance for development in the next 2 days.
As we head into the peak of the northern hemisphere tropical storm season, there are tropical storms active in the North Atlantic and across the North Pacific. Tropical Storm Gaston is located 1,008 nautical miles east northeast of the Leeward Islands, with maximum wind speeds at 70 mph (60 kts). Even if Invest 99L never becomes organized into a tropical storm or hurricane, parts of southeastern Florida will experience high winds, torrential rain, and possible flash flooding.
Hurricane Gaston in the mid-Atlantic should weaken into a tropical storm Thursdayas it continues into open water, far from land.
Here is good news for Southwest Florida: an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft that was scheduled to investigate Invest 99L this morning has been canceled.
And if those two storms weren’t enough to keep weather watchers busy, another disturbance cropped up overnight in the Gulf of Mexico. However, it’s not expected to develop into anything meaningful over the next 3-5 days.
“Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 25 miles from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles”, it added.
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“This motion is expected to continue for the next few days”, the Miami-based NHC said. After having nearly no associated thunderstorms around its center Thursday, the storm did build some activity over the course of Friday.
