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Iowa caucus kicks off 2016 voting with tight races in both parties

That determines the number of delegates for each candidate that will be sent to the Democratic National Convention.

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He said he was confident of taking the New Hampshire primary on February 9, and many others down the road.

Iowa has mixed results in picking the parties’ eventual nominees.

The poll released Monday surveyed 1,413 voters, including 461 Republican likely voters and 442 Democratic likely voters, between January 29 and January 31. Rick Santorum – faded as the race stretched on. But in 2008, enthusiasm for Barack Obama brought lots of new voters to the caucuses, almost doubling total Democratic turnout to 227,000.

The 2016 presidential contenders are begging their Iowa supporters to get to the caucuses Monday and Donald Trump, true to form, is in-your-face about it.

That passion, as measured by the Iowa caucuses, can also be important later in the campaign, Smith says, “since it predicts fundraising, volunteer support, and other forms of active participation in the race”. “And if conservatives come out, we’re going to win tomorrow”, the Texas senator said on “Fox News Sunday”.

Sanders, the Vermont senator who has been generating big, youthful crowds, urged voters to help him “make history”.

“A lot of people are wondering why Bernie Sanders is so appealing to younger people even though he’s an older man. It’s because of what he stands for, and Hillary is not standing for young people”, 20-year old Priscila Monsivais, Chicago, said.

Republican presidential candidate, Sen. Marco Rubio, R-Fla., speaks during a campaign rally, Sunday, Jan. 31, 2016, at the University of Northern Iowa in Cedar Falls, Iowa.

Cruz’s campaign was challenged by Iowa Secretary of State Paul Pate over a mailer sent to potential voters that seemed created to look like an official notice warning recipients about “low expected voter turnout in your area”. Democratic Iowa caucus rules say that to reach “viability”, a candidate must have support of 15 percent of the caucus-goers in that precinct. There are two main ways of holding a vote: a straightforward primary and a caucus. A win in both Iowa and New Hampshire for Sanders could change the dynamic in the South, where Clinton has built a firewall based on her support among African-American Democrats.

The 11 Republican and three Democratic candidates held rallies and shook hands across the rural Midwestern state.

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The caucuses will start across the state at 7 p.m. CST Monday, with Democrats gathering at 1,100 locations and Republicans joining at almost 900 spots. In 2012, almost half of Republican caucus-goers, 46 percent, decided in “the last few days”, according to entrance polls of the participants. Democrats also expect a strong turnout, though not almost as large as the record-setting 240,000 people who caucused in the 2008 contest between Clinton, Obama and John Edwards. On the basis of some limited evidence so far people who don’t want anyone to know who they vote for are less likely to show up and participate in caucuses.

Trump, Rubio rise in Iowa poll; Cruz, Carson slip