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Iowa caucuses: What to watch for Monday night

The Iowa Caucuses are Monday night, and the results will then shift all the attention to New Hampshire’s primary next week.

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The low poll numbers for the other Democratic candidate Martin O’Malley, a former Maryland governor, put him on the outside, but due to the process the Democrats use, if he has less than 15 percent support at the caucus, his supporters could make the difference between a Clinton win and a Sanders win.

Marco Rubio came in third place with 17 percent, while retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson ranked fourth with 8 percent.

Democratic presidential candidate and Sen. The Real Clear Politics poll average shows Sanders trailing Clinton by 4 points, at 43.9 percent compared to Clinton’s 47.9 percent.

Buttons are displayed at Green County Community Center before Republican presidential candidate, Sen. Claiming volunteers have knocked on more than 125,000 doors, the Clinton campaign doesn’t want to repeat its mistake.

Conservative commentator Glenn Beck, a Cruz supporter, warned last week that a Trump victory would trigger “a snowball to hell”.

“The size of the turnout tonight will likely be the key factor, especially on the Democratic side”, said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Poll, in a statement.

“We are running a national campaign and competing vigorously all across the country, but I’m very encouraged what we’re seeing on the ground here in Iowa”, Cruz told KVUE’s sister station WFAA on Sunday.

“The caucus system does give you a great opportunity to engage with those who are engaged, and turn them into hardcore champions that will carry over to the fall elections”, Broton said.

Since early January, Iowa’s voter registration rolls have increased by more than 6,700, with 3,651 new Republicans and 2,724 new Democrats, according to the Secretary of State’s office. Those who said they were somewhat conservative split between Rubio and Trump, followed by Cruz. There’s a winter storm predicted to start Tuesday, but it could hit parts of Iowa on Monday night, and that could depress turnout. Both Trump and Sanders have comfortable leads over their respective fields, but the results of Monday’s caucuses could lead to a shake-up in what has seemed like a fairly stable contest.

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Republican voters in the rural midwestern state backed the ultraconservative Cruz for the party nomination, according to U.S. media projections – leaving Trump to battle with a resurgent Marco Rubio for second place. Bernie Sanders pulled within the margin of error – a virtual tie – to Hillary Clinton in recent Iowa polls. Rick Santorum – faded as the race stretched on. The Republicans conduct a preference poll and tally the votes for each candidate.

Supporters cheer as caucus returns are reported at Republican presidential candidate Sen. Ted Cruz R-Texas caucus night rally in Des Moines Iowa Feb. 1 2016