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Jeb Bush Seeing Promising Signs in New Hampshire
CLINTON: She told the Des Moines Register of Trump’s recent language: “I really deplore the tone of his campaign, the inflammatory rhetoric that he is using to divide people, and his going after groups of people with hateful, incendiary rhetoric”. Many of Trump’s visits to New Hampshire have involved television interviews or multi-candidate forums.
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While Trump still leads his Republican rivals, Sen. To earn a spot on the main stage in the January 14 debates in Charleston, South Carolina, candidates must place in the top six nationally, or the top five in Iowa and New Hampshire. According to CNN, Cruz has also posted the largest increase in favorability rating among all adults since September, climbing from 27% favorable in September to 45% now, an 18-point gain.
The litany of Trump’s past comments paints the picture of a crude and out-of-touch throwback to a more primitive time. This marks the second CNN/ORC poll in a row in which more than three-quarters of Republicans now support one of the top four candidates (77% choose one of Trump, Cruz, Carson or Rubio), and 57% now support one of the top two candidates.
Ted Cruz’s supporters are a little less firmly decided, and more say they “probably won’t change”, as opposed to being decided. Among Republicans who watched, 33 percent thought Trump did best, followed by Cruz at 28 percent, then Rubio with 13 percent. Provocative billionaire Donald Trump is the dominant Republican candidate heading into the 2016 presidential election year, after a poll released Wednesday gave him double the support of his nearest competitor.
Of all Democrats and Republicans polled, 50 percent said they would embarrassed to have Trump as the face of the nation. Marco Rubio of Florida, Gov. Chris Christie of New Jersey or Gov. John Kasich of Ohio. I’ll be shocked, for instance, if you don’t see Romney and/or McCain announce for Rubio at the scripted moment, in order to nudge him past Jeb and Christie. With Ted Cruz and Marco Rubio standing by as alternatives? Another 24 percent would be neither proud nor embarrassed to have Trump in the White House. In the general, he is signaling that he will employ a strategy like that of past election winners: Like Cruz, he will seek to mobilize the base; more than Cruz, he will attempt to persuade non-ideological voters that his agenda will make a positive difference in their lives.
A story in POLITICO this week, however, says that the all-important state of New Hampshire may be showing signs of a “Bush Spring”. Another poll from Fox claims that Trump is 21 percent over the nearest G.O.P. candidate.
Trump is averaging 35.1% support in the past eight Republican primary surveys, according to Real Clear Politics.
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Polling director Kyle Dropp explained the discrepancy as “social desirability bias”, noting that certain people identify with the things Trump says, but won’t admit it because they don’t believe others will approve.