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Kasich tops Rubio in new NH poll
Can you say the same thing about front-runner Donald Trump?
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In the two-way Democratic party race, Sanders (54 per cent) has a 14-point advantage over former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (40 per cent), CNN said.
Meanwhile, the so-called “establishment” candidates – the kind of mainstream Republicans that usually prevail in New Hampshire – are split.
If Trump fails to perform in the New Hampshire primary, he will continue his downward trajectory for two reasons: 1) pollsters’ consistent overestimation of the number of Independents who will vote in the primary, and 2) the fact that the collective liberal archive of material on this guy is finally becoming known. He’s followed by Rubio at 15 percent; Cruz at 13 percent; Kasich at 11 percent and Bush at 10 percent.
The messages reflected the high stakes in the Granite State.
Trump is ahead with 31 percent of Republicans planning to vote in the primary, according to the CNN Poll of Polls. It certainly didn’t help that his only response, when Chris Christie first called him out for recycling the same line, was to robotically repeat the same talking point again (and again, and again). In those cases, only the most recent release from each poll is used in the average, so that no set of daily interviews is counted a couple of times in the average.
So jumbled is the New Hampshire outcome that campaigns were still shifting their strategies right before Tuesday.
Cruz, the Iowa victor, didn’t get a bump in New Hampshire, even as he tried to make a play for libertarians who had previously supported Rand Paul.
The Red Arrow Diner in New Hampshire’s biggest city, Manchester, has previously been a must-stop location for candidates to meet and greet locals.
Despite the cold weather, officials are predicting record voter turnout. In years where both parties hold contested primaries, more than half of registered voters in the state typically show up to vote, a rate better than many places see in general elections, let alone primaries. We performed. We showed people we’re ready to be president. That means the chances of reaching a likely voter with a random sample in the state are pretty good. No one knows what’s going on in this race at all. What are stores like on Christmas Eve in New Hampshire?
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Former President Bill Clinton, who earlier accused Sanders’ supporters of waging “profane” and “sexist” attacks on his wife on the Internet, took a softer tone Monday, though he displayed frustration at Sanders’ success with young voters. The Vermont Senator topped 80 percent support among those under age 30, an nearly unheard of level of support. On the Democratic side, that figure inches up to about 60 percent.