The latest poll shows 42 percent of Wisconsin’s registered voters support Democratic candidate Clinton and 37 percent support Republican candidate Donald Trump. It has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.1 percentage points.
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Clinton powered through a coughing fit at a Labor Day festival at a Cleveland park, sharply criticizing Trump’s recent trip to Mexico as “an embarrassing worldwide incident”.
Clinton is about 1.5 percentage points from her high in the past six weeks of 50.84 on August 16. The overwhelming majority of likely voters – 73% – surveyed are anxious about an economic downturn that could negatively affect their families.
As the presidential debates near closer, Trump must pick up serious ground if he wishes to not be completely embarrassed on Election Day. Libertarian Gary Johnson came in at 7 percent and the Green Party’s Jill Stein at 2 percent.
In a CNN poll, Mr. Trump is leading Ms. Clinton by two percentage points among likely voters, while she still has an edge among all registered voters. That is virtually unchanged from a month ago, when Clinton led Trump 46-45 – which is considered a statistical dead heat. Such surveys may result in inherent biases – they may have trouble reaching some groups that are less likely to be online, including older people and low-income voters – but as new data shows they have been largely in line with traditional polls, they have become more common. And it will take a lot of work by both Trump and Clinton to win these voters over.
Meanwhile, models by FiveThirtyEight and The New York Times’ Upshot predict the most likely outcome based on state polling averages is a comfortable victory of about 350 electoral votes for Clinton.
Clinton’s post-convention bump has dwindled as of late, with national polls showing an increasingly tight race.
Only 3 percent said they have a favorable impression of Trump. In the fluid public opinion, several conventionally Republican states such as Arizona, Georgia and Texas appear willing to swing to the Democrats this time, while their support may be eroding in strongholds of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and MI.
The destinations in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Michigan and New Hampshire point to Clinton’s battleground map of approximately a dozen states that hold the key to the 270 electoral votes needed to claim the presidency.
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But those tossup states, which include traditional battlegrounds like OH and Florida, also suggest normally safe Republican states such as Texas, Georgia and MS are in play. “As the campaign enters its final stage, Florida and OH, two of the largest and most important swing states, are too close to call, while North Carolina and Pennsylvania give Hillary Clinton the narrowest of leads”.
