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New CNN national poll: Trump up 21 points over Cruz at 39%
A new national CNN/ORC poll of Republican and Republican-leaning registered voters has Trump leading with 39 percent support, more than twice that of his nearest competitor Senator Ted Cruz on 18 percent. Marco Rubio cracked a joke about roasting lechón.
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A poll this month by the survey center found that 18 percent of likely GOP primary voters had definitely decided whom they would support. “But here you have someone like Cruz who to me is more eloquent, more articulate, can get that point across and understands that you can’t alienate maybe certain groups but there’s a way that maybe you can convey your point of view and your values and your principles that will make people know where you’re coming from”.
Most, however, were not there yet – and history suggests a large proportion won’t decide until days before the February 9 primary. As Ed Kilgore and others have noted, Cruz is prospering in part because he is telling the GOP base one of the things it most wants to hear. None. They are like the splintered reed the prophets spoke of, that pierces the hand of anyone who leans on it for support. Marco Rubio, for instance, said it was a “positive development” that Americans would now “confront more directly the issue of national security”, and while he subsequently clarified that remark, he also reiterated that the attacks had “refocused our campaign on what I think should be the number one issue in any federal campaign – especially for the presidency – and that is our national security”.
“I think both of them, their campaigns have a natural arc, and with both of them, I think gravity is pulling them down”.
As Rachel noted on the show the other day, former President George W. Bush participated in a private conference call with Jeb Bush’s national finance team on Friday, and sounded optimistic. If he does somehow win, the charged atmosphere in the wake of the attacks arguably will have played a key role.
Donald Trump appears on stage at the CNN Republican Presidential Debate in Simi Valley, California on September 16, 2015.
Gov. Chris Christie, who polls show is competing for second place behind Trump with Cruz and Florida Sen.
Well, that’s inconvenient for Republican leaders, isn’t it! If he surges, there’s a good chance Republican opposition to him will turn out to be soft. Two recent polls have placed him in fourth place there, with 11 percent support – just behind Sen.
With less than six weeks to go until the first official nominating contests begin with the Iowa caucus, followed swiftly by the crucial opening primary in New Hampshire, the more establishment Republican candidates are crisscrossing the New England state in an effort to crack Trump’s lead.
Retail politics has long served as the counter to big money in US elections. By contrast, Republicans are not concerned by 64-37. In fact, the GOP establishment, by crowing about this grotesque monstrosity of a bloated, gargantuan, budget-busting behemoth, just kneecapped itself by absolutely guaranteeing that no establishment Republican has a snowball’s chance of getting the nomination.
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Fifty-seven percent of Republicans surveyed feel that Trump is best equipped to handle the economy. He could win. But he’s still a factional candidate and would probably lose one on one against most of his GOP rivals. He certainly had a more central role in the immigration bill from which he has distanced himself – which may be a reason he is trying to elevate his role in this case. “‘Obama was a senator, you’re a senator, he was there for two years, you’ve been there for four years, explain to us how it’s going to be different'”. Thus, Trump’s “I really don’t give a damn” mien could prove risky to a Clinton campaign that prizes control. I don’t know that he has any boundaries at all.