Republican presidential candidate, businessman Donald Trump speaks at a news conference before a scheduled campaign rally, Wednesday, November 18, 2015, in Worcester, Mass.
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Ben Carson surged, Gov. Scott Walker stalled and Wisconsin voters appeared to be in an angry mood, according to the Marquette University Law School Poll released Thursday. Marco Rubio of Florida with 19 percent; Donald Trump with 17 percent; Sen. Its worst-case outcome is what the polls are already showing: a clear win for an unacceptable candidate, and the other candidates so evenly split and so far behind that the contest fails to clarify which candidate the establishment should coalesce behind. In addition, the Florida senator saw a nine-point swing in a head-to-head matchup with Hillary Clinton and now leads 45-44 over the prohibitive Democratic front-runner. His refusal to expand his appeal relegates him to one quadrant of the party, one in which he must compete with Trump and Ben Carson. Of the 381 Democrats polled, 78 percent said Clinton had the best chance of winning in a general election.
Similarly, only 27 percent had a favorable opinion of Republican U.S. Sen.
Regarding Sanders’ lack of support, Cuoco was also not surprised that Clinton has a majority of likely votes because of her experience, though he thought Sanders’ “common man” approach would help him if that representation of him was truthful. Bernard Sanders of Vermont and 7 percent for former Maryland Gov. Martin O’Malley. Sixty-four percent of independents agreed with the statement and 35% disagreed. “I’d say the chance of Trump or Carson winning is probably 10% or lower, but still, you know, I’m not going to sit here confidently and say, ‘Oh, it’s impossible for them to win, ‘ because the GOP may be a bit different than usual”, Silver said. The survey found Democrat Russ Feingold leading Johnson 49 percent to 38 percent in their rematch from 2010. In September 37 percent approved of the governor, 59% disapproved. The poll was conducted Sunday and Monday.
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The polling sample for the Democratic and GOP primaries consisted of 251 and 445 likely primary voters, respectively, with a margin of error of +/-6% and +/-4.6%, an overall sample of 623 registered voters with a +/-3.9%, and a 95% confidence level was used for the additional statewide questions. But even among self-identified establishment Republicans, Trump leads with 25 percent to Carson’s 22 percent. The string of victories would deprive his rivals of oxygen, leaving them up against a lavishly funded billionaire who is deeply in sync with the party base and riding a surge of momentum that causes the lion’s share of Super Tuesday states to fall in line and sharply salute him. On who would better deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin, Trump has a 14 percentage-point advantage.
