Tropical Storm Nora is strengthening as it heads into the Central Pacific and could soon become a hurricane, though there is no current threat to land.
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Maximum sustained winds are near 50 miles per hour with higher gusts.
Nora is expected to take continue tracking north-northwest, steered by a large upper-level ridge located to the northeast of the system, through Monday night. The shear is expected to persist through the remainder of Nora’s life as a tropical cyclone, so continued gradual weakening is expected.
At 5 a.m., Nora was about 795 miles southeast of Hilo moving west at 9 mph.
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“Despite being over warm sea surface temperatures, persistent southwesterly shear of 25-30 kt continues to limit convection near the center of Nora…” Shower and storm recreation of a flashy field of low force to be found about 500 kilometers south-southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec goes on to expose symptoms of establishment. On Tuesday, Nora is forecast to shift toward a more northward track before losing almost all low-level convection by Wednesday night. The intensity guidance is in line with that forecast by the CPHC, though the majority of the models expect the system to continue tracking north/northeast after 48 hours and do not anticipate Nora to recurve to the west-northwest towards Hawaii.
