In New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, and MI – states that have trended Democratic in recent elections, but whose economics and demographics seem to pose an opening for the GOP nominee – Clinton has made strides in improving her favorable ratings, while Trump remains challenged by high unfavorable ratings and resistance from a significant portion of Republicans.
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The poll conducted by Marist Institute for Public Opinion in NY said last month Clinton’s lead was 42-39 advantage over Trump.
The poll shows that Hillary Clinton is leading Donald Trump 49% – 38% among likely voters.
“After all the hand-wringing about whether Bernie Sanders supporters would end up supporting Hillary Clinton, she’s now getting 86 percent of the Democratic vote”, said Steve Koczela, president of the MassINC Polling Group.
Trump’s problem with female voters grew.
The poll also showed that Democrat Katie McGinty has a one-point-lead over Republican Senator Pat Toomey 39%-38% among likely voters.
Trump leads among white voters (45 percent to Clinton’s 40 percent), seniors (46 percent to 43 percent), independents (36 percent to 32 percent) and white voters without a college degree (49 percent to 36 percent).
The significant lead for Clinton in the latest poll compares to a WMUR/University of New Hampshire poll showing the race in the Granite State virtually tied before the Democratic convention. Marco Rubio has hefty leads over Democratic Congressmen Patrick Murphy and Alan Grayson in the state’s closely watched Senate race. In the McClatchy-Marist poll, Clinton’s lead shrunk by only 1 point, while she retained an identical 9-point lead in the NBC-WSJ survey.
The sample error for this survey is +/- 4.8 percentage points.
With the general election just months away, Franklin and Marshall College has released a poll taken this past weekend on which candidates Pennsylvanians are supporting.
Among registered voters, the gap widens to 13 points.
University of North Florida political science professor Michael Binder said a bump for Clinton the week after the Democratic National Convention is to be expected. “He’s now getting a bit less than two-thirds of the Republican vote”. The survey found 57% of MI voters felt Clinton was qualified to be president, while 61.2% said Trump was not qualified to be president.
Among qualities important to voters, Clinton’s experience and temperament stand out as critical assets. But Clinton and Trump run about even on the question of who would better manage the economy.
Clinton’s base. Clinton’s bases of strength are Detroit, Wayne County and Oakland County, but she also leads in West Michigan, Southwest Michigan and Southeast Michigan counties due to Gary Johnson’s strength in those regions.
The Franklin and Marshall College poll of Pennsylvania was conducted from July 29 through August 1.
Among non-white registered voters, Clinton holds a sizeable lead at 78 percent to 9 percent.
Clinton is ahead of Trump by 9 points, 41% to 32%, among likely MI voters, according to a Detroit news/WDIV-TV poll.
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The poll also found a majority of MI voters – 61% – say Trump is “ill-prepared to be commander in chief”. It was conducted from July 31 to August 3. Among all women, she leads Trump by 51 percent-35 percent while almost breaking even (43 percent-42 percent) among men. She leads 43% to 39% when third-party candidates are included. 65% of respondents were interviewed by landline telephone.
