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Potential for a significant winter storm late this week
The forecast models are showing good consistency on a potentially large winter storm that will move across Texas on Thursday with heavy rain across much of the South and ending with snow across much of the Northeast on Sunday.
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“We are just now at the point where the air is cold enough with the ongoing storms to awaken a sleeping giant in terms of a snowstorm”, Dombek said.
Since the storm will strengthen rapidly and will tap plenty of moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean on its path, snowfall rates of 1-3 inches per hour are possible. Overall, El Nino remains a significant driver of our weather, and that favors a milder and less snowy pattern.
A storm system that will be moving up the East Coast later this week is on course to meet frigid northern air in what might bring the area’s first considerable snowfall of the winter this weekend.
The heaviest accumulations would likely be north and west of the District, as is the case with most storms.
On Friday, the wintry part of storm will focus on the mid-Atlantic region. Once the system reaches the West Coast later Tuesday it will finally be in an area where more of that data is available for computer models to use.
Bottom line here – we can only control what we do and what we forecast.
It’s very unusual for the models to be so similar this far out from a snow storm.
Subfreezing temperatures will stretch all the way to the East Coast, where forecast low temperatures for Tuesday include 13 degrees in Boston, 18 in New York City and 12 in Washington, D.C.
It’s still several days away, meaning it’s too early for specifics, but here’s a break down of what we’re watching. Snow should be falling throughout all of Southern New England including the cape as snow begins to move into the areas around Manchester New Hampshire, Portland Maine, Rutland Vermont and Albany and Syracuse New York. “It’s just whether we’re going to be measuring it with a ruler or a yardstick”.
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Check back with weather.com for the latest information and forecast.