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Rundle: you have 7 weeks to get ready for a Trump presidency
On Wednesday, Trump’s chances dipped, but only slightly, to 44.3%, which amounts to his second-best odds in the forecast.
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“When she said my opposition to radical Islamic terrorism provides aid and comfort to the enemy – we know that Hillary Clinton has once again demonstrated she is unfit for office”, Trump said.
It is thought that the state’s older, more blue-collar population makes Pennsylvania the most likely swing state to propel Mr Trump to the White House. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson maintained his third position with 9 percent and Green Party nominee Jill Stein trailed with 3 percent.
A new CNN Poll of Polls, including the NBC/WSJ data, finds Clinton’s edge over Trump has inched up by 1 point.
Although Clinton ripped into Trump during her appearance, mostly she was on Fallon for the same reason Trump was: Both presidential candidates have what could be called a humanization problem, and Fallon’s late night show exists to humanize his guests. FiveThirtyEight has given her a 67.1 percent chance of winning the state in the general election. Like everything else unusual and unexpected about this presidential campaign, the results of a new poll show a distinct shift in the political preferences of America’s richest voters. That would give him 206 Electoral College votes.
According to a recent Bloomberg poll, Clinton is leading Donald Trump among top earners, which describes voters with an annual household income of $100,000 or more.
But many more Clinton supporters, 68%, say they would feel relieved if she were to win.
One thing they did not glean from that appearance is a course correction for Clinton after reviews that described her as defensive.
That debate saw 80m people watch as the pair battled it out just days before the election, but experts told The Hill the Trump v Clinton debate could see record numbers watching. And in OH, another battleground state, Trump leads Clinton by 1.2%, based on an average of several recent polls.
“You want something to vote for”, Clinton said, “not just against”.
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Trump would secure wins in several battleground states, according to the forecast, including Florida, Ohio and North Carolina. Much could hinge on the unpredictable candidate’s performance during the televised debates. In fact, although the race has tightened there a lot since Trump’s post-convention swoon, he’s never led a poll in Wisconsin against Clinton. The Clinton camp’s biggest worry: that the Republican presidential nominee will be asked softer questions than Clinton.