In an interview with the Tribune, Mr Dean said the tropical wave has made a turn toward the west and is struggling to develop into an organised storm. Surface pressures in the area were high and little development of the system was expected before it reached the Texas coast over the weekend, NHC said.
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It doesn’t look like the tropical wave lurking in the Atlantic will develop into Tropical Storm Hermine anytime soon, but it continues to be a rainmaker as it moves over the Bahamas. However, with a bit of dry air and some upper level wind shear, it’s hard to determine at this time if this will become a tropical storm, or just dissolve into a tropical wave.
Back to Invest 99-L, invest simply means the National Hurricane Center is watching it for possible development. Forecasters warn that while the storm is now encountering unfavorable conditions, that could change as it moves across warm water and low wind shear early next week.
The National Hurricane Center said a disturbance near Cuba has a 20 percent chance of developing into a cyclone in the next 48 hours.
The last few runs of the European model have now come much more in line with the GFS and essentially keep “99L” as a tropical wave moving into the eastern Gulf and then have it drawn northward without much fanfare.
“If you have plans for the weekend, you might want to adjust those”, he said. At present, the storm is kicking up disorganized showers and thunderstorms, the hurricane center reported Friday morning. Forecasters anticipate the storm will regain hurricane status sometime on Saturday and remain strong until passing east of Bermuda sometime between Monday and Tuesday.
Feltgen said the system deserved attention because it appeared to make a beeline for South Florida and the Keys. See a very detailed Gulf Coast forecast here.
As hurricane season’s peak continues, emergency management officials urge residents throughout Tampa Bay to be prepared.
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A combination of fewer tropical storms and a lessening reliance on Gulf of Mexico oil and natural gas production (thanks to the growth in production out of inland shale plays) has kept hurricane-related damage to the nation’s energy infrastructure and markets to a minimum in recent years.
