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Time to Stop Over-Analyzing Oil Freeze, It’s Not Helping
West Texas Intermediate, the US benchmark price for oil, was down 0.9 percent to open at $44.02 per barrel.
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But North Sea Brent closed 37 cents lower at $47.26 per barrel for November delivery on the Intercontinental Exchange in London.
Iran is closer to its aspiration to produce 4 million barrels a day, the level of its output before the sanctions were imposed over its nuclear program, according to Fyfe.
Critics say any freeze would be mostly symbolic – OPEC is pumping more oil than ever before, and capping production at extremely high levels wouldn’t really help fix an oversupplied market.
Aside from the trading session, movements were mass prior to the scheduled meeting in Algeria among Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and Russian Federation on the sidelines of International Energy Forum to held end of September. Longer-term output expansion will come from new contracts with foreign oil companies.
The key question for a potential freeze, therefore, would be at which levels production is frozen.
Iran plans to increase its own oil output to pre-sanctions levels in the next few months.
Saudi Arabia insisted that all producers should participate in any joint action, which led to the collapse of the talks, since Iran was unwilling to take part.
Oil hit a one-week high on Monday after Saudi Arabia and Russian Federation consented to coordinate on settling the oil market.
Crude has gained about 10 per cent since Opec said in August that it will hold talks in Algiers later this month.
Instability and stumbling oil prices will be detrimental to oil exporting countries, he stressed, saying that the two factors will be also inconsistent with major global objective of environment conservation.
“Iran will cooperate with OPEC on improving prices and the state of the crude market, but we expect our right to restore our lost market share in the market to be considered”, he said at the time, according to Shana.
Several previous attempts at implementing a freeze have failed, reflecting a schism within OPEC between its biggest member – Saudi Arabia – and Iran, which is increasing production after years of global sanctions.
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The global oil market has transitioned to a “rough balance” and will move into deficit in in the second half of 2017, Societe Generale said in a report Wednesday.