In an updated hurricane season outlook, scientists explain the main factors expected to lead to the development of more storms.
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Since yesterday, Fiona has maintained 45-mph sustained wind speeds.
A tropical depression could form early next week while the system moves west at about 15 miles per hour, forecasters said this morning in their 8 a.m. advisory.
The storm’s maximum sustained winds increased to near 45mph late on Thursday but it is expected to be followed by slow weakening to a tropical depression at the weekend.
At present, Fiona does not pose a threat to land.
We will monitor this system as the environment eventually becomes more favorable for development.
Let’s just hope this year’s Gaston stays out to sea. “Things could change, of course, but right now that’s the thinking”.
As of 2 p.m. on Thursday, August 18, 2016, both systems have a 20% chance of developing into tropical cyclones within the next 5 days.
The NHC issues two-day and five-day formation chance percentages to offer the public a gauge on the intensification probabilities of non-named tropical systems.
“Some you may not notice, or they can produce a lot of rain and gusty weather”, Feltgen said.
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The second disturbance under watch is a tropical wave that’s expected to blow off the coast of Africa on Saturday. The lack of moisture will inhibit intensification efforts, despite water temperatures above 80°, which would typically allow a tropical storm to intensify.
