A disturbance in the central Atlantic is close to strengthening into a tropical depression or storm.
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Danny thrived late last week in a zone of low wind shear.
Based on satellite imagery and buoy measurements in the water, meteorologists at the hurricane center say the rain and storms associated with Erika continue showing better organization.
Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of Erika.
The trough is expected to dissipate during the next couple of days.
The area will follow a path similar to Danny’s, but it is much larger than Danny and therefore might be less susceptible to wind shear and drier air.
Despite a quiet first half of the hurricane season across the Atlantic, late August and through September are typically the peak of tropical activity.
After reaching the vicinity of the Leeward Islands, the forecast computer models diverge and show different track scenarios. Some minor fluctuations in intensity may occur Monday and Tuesday, but Danny is forecast to dissipate by midweek in the northern Caribbean. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development of this system as it moves westward at 15 to 20 miles per hour over the next few days.
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The storm doesn’t pose any threats to land at this time.
