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Tropical wave taking aim at the Caribbean, Bahamas, possibly Florida

The National Hurricane Center in Miami said it has a 70 percent chance of development within the next five days.

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– Florida’s decade-long hurricane drought could be coming to an end next week, but that potential tropical system has yet to even form.

As for the other systems in the Atlantic, Tropical Storm Gaston is gaining strength, but that’s not a much of concern, because the current forecast is for it to turn north, thousands of miles away from the USA shore.

Gaston is centered about 975 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands and is moving west-northwest near 17 mph. A strong El Niño system kept storms at bay previous year, but that weather phase is no longer in place. The next one on the list is Hermine (pronounced her-MEEN).

Another hurricane hunter flight is scheduled for Wednesday, if necessary.

By Tuesday evening, it was a couple hundred miles east of the Lesser Antilles, with forecast models predicting the storm will track toward Puerto Rico, then eventually toward the vicinity of the Bahamas. With Kottlowski adding, “All people living and having interests in and around the Bahamas, Cuba, and Florida should closely monitor the movement of this evolving tropical system”. Turns out the day you’re most likely to see one of these storms is September 10. Squalls to tropical storm force can be expected over the extreme northern Leeward Islands and portions of the northern US and British Virgin Islands Wednesday afternoon. Named storm or not, strong winds, heavy rain, flooding and mud slides will be possible in those areas.

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The hurricane center said Fiona was barely a depression as of early Tuesday morning and was expected to become a remnant low in the next few days.

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