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Trump bounces into the lead
Hillary Clinton, who will be nominated for president by the Democratic Party this week in Philadelphia, has consistently led Trump in the polls over the past month, in some cases by double-digits.
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And yet Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump has received a very old-school bounce in the polls in the wake of the GOP convention in Cleveland. That represents a 6-point convention bounce for Trump.
As in other similar polls, if the question includes Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson, Trump still leads by one point at 40, Clinton at 39, and Johnson at 12.
The Democratic National Convention opens today, amid turmoil over the resignation of Democratic National Committee chairwoman Debbie Wasserman Schultz over leaked emails that showed DNC staffers favoring Clinton over rival Bernie Sanders.
Morning Consult suggests the bump for Trump comes from the consolidation of the Republican base.
Nearly half – 48 percent – rated Trump’s speech as good or excellent, essentially tied with the speech given by his daughter, Ivanka Trump, but higher than his running mate, Mike Pence, or Republican National Committee chairman Reince Priebus. The real-estate mogul’s edge is thanks largely to increased support among independents, CNN said, with 43% of independents saying the Republican convention made them more likely to back him. This result, like the CNN poll, has Trump and Clinton within the margin of error.
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The CBS News poll was conducted by telephone July 22-24, 2016 among a random sample of 1,363 adults nationwide, including 1,118 registered voters. Not anymore. A CNN poll released Monday puts Trump in the lead, 48 percent to 45 percent.