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Trump can top Republicans, but not Clinton
Ted Cruz, R-Texas speaks in Washington. Terrorism and national security are now specifically front-and-center on primary voters’ minds: in Iowa, 61 percent say it is their top decision-making criteria for candidates, ahead of the economy; in New Hampshire, 66 percent cite terrorism and security ahead of 28 percent on the economy. Some significant number of Trump supporters, especially those with college educations, are “less likely to say that they support him when they’re talking to a live human” than when they are in the “anonymous environment” of an online survey, said the firm’s polling director, Kyle Dropp.
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If the Republican primary featured a face-off between Trump and Cruz, a Texas senator, Trump would win the support of 41 per cent of Republican and independent voters, the poll showed. The Texan’s lead has shot up in Iowa from earlier this month, when he led Trump by nine percentage points.
Ted Cruz is the clear leader in the latest reading from prediction-market aggregator PredictWise.com, with 60% to nearest rival Donald Trump’s 21%. Sen. After Christie, we have Ohio Governor John Kasich at 8%, Jeb Bush at 6%, Ben Carson and Rand Paul both at 5$, and Carly Fiorina at 4%. And that’s probably how he’s planning it: sticking close to Trump on the hot-button issues that most animate the Donald’s blue-collar base, but reminding everyone whenever he can that he was a big-time Ivy League college debater.
Why is that, and which polls are more accurate – the online surveys that tend to show Trump with support of almost four-in-10 GOP voters or the telephone surveys that have generally shown him with the backing of one-third or fewer?
What do you think- do many polls in fact understimate Trump’s lead among Repulicans?
Polls of voters also show a lead for Cruz in the Hawkeye State, which holds caucuses February 1.
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Cruz and Rubio now sit in second and fourth place of all Republican candidates, respectively, in the run-up to the November 2016 presidential election, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll on Friday.