Cruz polls stronger in Los Angeles County and the Central Valley-Sierras while Trump has more support in Southern California outside of L.A. County and the Bay Area.
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“They’re the values of liberal Democratic politicians like Andrew Cuomo, like Anthony Weiner and Eliot Spitzer, like Charlie Rangel”, Cruz told reporters.
The poll surveyed 1,503 Maryland adults between March 30-April 3.
“If it’s a close election, this is devastating news” for the Republicans, said Donald Green, an expert on election turnout at Columbia University.
“And for those in the media who say this is some sort of chaotic event, I would remind them that Abraham Lincoln was elected in an open convention, on I think it was either the fifth or sixth ballot if I remember right”, he said.
So while Trump can still win by June 7 (as Nate Cohn argued today at the Upshot), he’s run out of a margin of error.
“You have two candidates that Latino Republicans aren’t too excited about”, Madrid said. There are 81 delegates awarded based on the votes in New York’s 27 congressional districts, or three from each district.
Not all conservative Latinos favor Trump or Cruz, nor the harsh tone of much of the immigration rhetoric heard in the presidential race. “You know, nationwide there are about 65 to 70 percent of Republicans who get that Donald Trump is not the best candidate to go up against Hillary Clinton, and that he loses, and loses badly against Hillary”.
“We were working our tails off up there to do as good as we could in those circumstances”, he said, noting the GOP front-runner faced opposition from many on the Wisconsin right-wing talk radio circuit, as well as from Republican governor and former presidential candidate Scott Walker.
“Don’t be fooled. Ted Cruz can’t win the nomination outright”, says the TV ad slated to start playing Friday in New York City and Long Island, as well as upstate New York.
But Whitaker said it’s important for a candidate to have more than 50 percent of the delegates to build around.
Since then, Trump’s path has narrowed, raising the possibility of a contested convention when the party meets in Cleveland in July to pick its presidential nominee.
Instead of holding a statewide primary or caucus like most states, Colorado employs a series of local, congressional district and statewide gatherings where people compete to be delegates.
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New York, with its 95 delegates and favorable inclination towards the Manhattan mogul, could give Trump a critical boost to his delegate count.
