Voters remain unhappy with both major party candidates.
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The tied poll reflects other recent polling, as well.
Days after a video emerged of Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton appearing to faint and collapse into her Secret Service-protected van on Sunday, a new poll reveals Americans fear the 69-year-old has more to hide. What changed? Well, as we noted earlier, Hillary has been tanking for weeks, but the Times and CBS News applied a likely voter screen to their numbers for the first time this cycle. When third-party candidates Gary Johnson and Jill Stein were included, the race was tied among likely voters – at 42% each – while Clinton had a slight edge (41% to 39%) among registered voters.
Trump was viewed as more honest and trustworthy than Clinton, 48 percent to 36 percent in OH and 47 percent to 40 percent in Florida. “He speaks his mind and doesn’t care what others say about him”. Past celebrity candidates like Jesse Ventura and Arnold Schwarzenegger probably benefited from disaffected, usually apolitical voters coming out for them, and there is no reason to assume it could not happen to some extent for Mr Trump.
It’s just unlikely. Writing at FiveThirtyEight.com today, David Wasserman of the Cook Political Report lays out a credible scenario under which Trump could snatch victory from Clinton in the Electoral College while losing the popular vote.
Among those who said they were concerned about donations to the Clinton Foundation, 48 percent said they were generally concerned about foreign money being contributed to organizations run by high-ranking politicians, while 38 percent said they were specifically concerned that donors had more access to Clinton while she was serving in the Obama administration. On Thursday, the Los Angeles Times and the University of Southern California found in their daily tracking poll that Trump has jumped to a 6-point lead.
A look at the candidates’ demographic support also illustrates why the race is close. Clinton now leads Trump by less than 2 points nationally, according to a RealClearPolitics polling average. That is particularly so if Clinton’s illness combines with her politically inept attack on Trump’s constituency among middle-ground voters to raise not only question marks about her judgement and capacity for doing the job, but also to reinforce the widely-held belief that she is of the establishment, for the establishment and will solidify the position of the establishment if elected.
White voters lacking a college degree gave Trump a strong show of support – 58 percent – while Clinton led Trump among white college graduate voters.
Clinton is ahead of Trump among voters under 30 but she is not getting the level of support Barack Obama received in 2012. The Democratic nominee is the choice of 73 percent of liberal voters and holds a 45 percent to 31 percent advantage among moderates.
FiveThirtyEight’s more analytical “polls-plus” forecast drops Clinton’s chances to 68.8 percent and flips Iowa and North Carolina to Trump’s column.
Chelsea and Bill Clinton have been deployed to the campaign trail to fill in for Hillary while she rests up from pneumonia. A CNN survey released Wednesday had him winning by the same gap. Mr. Trump hired new campaign leadership in mid-August and has been more disciplined in his public statements.
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The nationwide telephone survey gathered input from 1,433 registered voters and has a margin of sampling error of plus or minus three percent. “She was the NY senator at the time and she got custody of my grandson for my son”. For the landline sample, a respondent was randomly selected from all adults in the household.
