In comparing the current trends with those collected in a 2008 exit poll of voters, pollsters found Trump is performing far worse than 2008 candidate John McCain among both Hispanics and whites.
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Clinton has dropped 9 points from the previous CNN/ORC poll, released August 1. A FiveThirtyEight forecast boosted Trump’s odds of victory in November to one in three.
To mount an authentic comeback, Trump must finally forge an emotional connection with voters outside his natural base, who have yet to embrace his vision of a nation under siege from terror and crime. With a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 points, this survey puts the leading candidates in a virtual tie. This is a shift from the PPP poll, which showed Clinton with 80 percent of the black vote and Trump with 5 percent. Clinton, meanwhile, accused Trump of insulting America’s veterans and pressing risky military plans around the globe.
Trump has his largest edge of the campaign as the more honest and trustworthy of the two major candidates (50 percent say he is more honest and trustworthy vs. just 35 percent choosing Clinton) and as the stronger leader, 50 percent to 42 percent.
Still, Clinton can not afford to be complacent.
It’s a dead heat in the Sunshine State between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump.
The poll also includes approval ratings for several state officials.
“National polls tend to be of higher quality and the states are not divorced from the national polls”, said Ken Goldstein, a professor of politics at the University of San Francisco and a polling analyst for Bloomberg Politics.
Clinton said closing the detention center at Guantanamo Bay, Cuba, “should remain the goal of the next president”, adding that it “became a symbol of a lot of the problems that were started under the Bush administration which have not served us well in terms of relations around the world”. Unwilling to allow Trump to modify his immigration stances, she said his address later that night in Arizona amounted to a “doubling down on his absurd plan to send a deportation force to round up 16 million people”.
For now, at least, Trump has a steep hill to climb.
The topsy-turvy campaign for the presidency has seen both Clinton and Trump holding a significant lead at some point in the last two months, though Clinton has topped Trump more often than not.
Clinton still has an average lead of 2.4 points nationally, according to Real Clear Politics, down roughly two points from the week prior.
Trump extended a rare invitation to a handful of reporters to join him on his private jet between campaign stops, while Clinton debuted her new campaign plane, riding with reporters for the first time since launching her 2016 bid for the White House. The most recent poll shows Trump leading Clinton in OH by one point, 46-45.
“Despite close numbers, Hillary Clinton is poised to win by dominating the issue dimensions of governing, caring, temperament and being for the middle class”, said pollster Celinda Lake, a Democrat and president of Lake Research Partners, a group that conducted the poll with the university.
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The polls in the various states were conducted from August 29 through Wednesday, meaning most if not all of the people surveyed were called before NBC’s Commander in Chief forum with Clinton and Trump Wednesday night, Quinnipiac Assistant Director Peter Brown said. Clinton also has multiple paths to the 270 electoral votes needed to win in November ” so many that she could lose OH and Florida and still become America’s first female president.
