Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump leads Democrat Hillary Clinton among likely voters in the state 39%-32%, a new Texas Lyceum poll shows.
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The barrage comes as Clinton has lost ground in recent polls, with her average lead in a four-way race narrowing to 1.8 points, from 3.9 points on September 1, according to RealClearPolitics.
In a race between just the Republican and Democratic candidates, Clinton has 48 percent compared to Trump’s 43 percent.
“Trump has cut Clinton’s support in half in a two-way race and nearly in half in a four-way race”, said Steve Mitchell, CEO of Mitchell Research & Communications.
Most revealing is that Clinton and Trump supporters are motivated more by their antipathy for the other candidate than enthusiasm for their choice. And no Republican has ever won the presidency without also winning the state. He defeated Mitt Romney in Florida by a single percentage point. Among Spanish-speaking voters, Rubio leads Murphy by 16 points.
Trump’s campaign has long contended there exists a swath of Trump voters who won’t talk to the press or pollsters for fear of being demonized, but who will show up at the polls in November.
Responding to her medical episode on Sunday, Mr Trump said: “I don’t know what’s going on”. Gary Johnson, the Libertarian candidate, has the support of 8 percent of likely voters, and the Green Party nominee, Jill Stein, takes 4 percent.
The last five national four-way polls: Tie, Clinton by two, Clinton by two, Trump by two, and now a tie again in the new one from the NYT/CBS.
Some South Florida Democrats have privately said they worry that Clinton’s campaign is taking Hispanics for granted, banking on an anti-Trump sentiment driving Latinos to the polls. But Donald Trump is not faring as poorly as some might think, amid doubts about Clinton’s trustworthiness. But his brash style and lack of experience in government are a much tougher sell among well-off Republicans who have always been a backbone of the party, according to Reuters/Ipsos polling and interviews with Republican-leaning white collar professionals. Clinton disclosed Sunday that she had contracted pneumonia after video showing her stumbling as she entered a vehicle spread widely.
Clinton, meanwhile, is widely favored in each state to do a better job improving the lives of Hispanics and is seen as being closer to most Hispanics’ opinions on major issues.
In Ohio, Clinton faces deeper image challenges than in Florida.
Thirty-six percent of registered voters overall now say they are very enthusiastic about voting, the same as a month ago.
As for Trump’s own numbers, he’s out to a 5.9-point lead in today’s LA Times daily tracker, his biggest advantage since late July.
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The poll of 1,600 Hispanic registered voters – 400 in each state – was taken August 24 to September 3 by Bendixen & Amandi International and the Tarrance Group.
