With 11 days to go before the USA presidential election, Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton leads Republican Donald Trump by 15 percentage points among early voters surveyed in the past two weeks, according to the Reuters/Ipsos States of the Nation project. “If he does win all three that still gives him only 253 electoral votes”, said Ford O’Connell, a GOP strategist. The project’s broader polling suggests the state is deadlocked between the two candidates. The National Rifle Association has been Trump’s biggest defender on television, and a second PAC funded by the powerful Adelson and Ricketts families showed initial signs of progress earlier this fall, but neither has matched the Clinton juggernaut.
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Trump did not begin television advertising until late into the summer – ceding the airwaves to Clinton until the nominating conventions wrapped – and still maintains a skeletal staff compared to the Clinton behemoth in Brooklyn.
A major factor in Trump’s climb appears to be the return of Republican women to his camp. She supported Marco Rubio in the Republican primary and criticized Trump along the way.
Beyond allegations of fraud, 40 percent of Trump supporters say they have little to no confidence that votes in the election will be counted accurately. Trump now leads by a 30 percentage point margin among white voters without college degrees, up from 20 points from this weekend.
Clinton, meanwhile, sits on $62 million as of October 20, meaning she could spend more than $3 million a day during the final two weeks of the election and not go broke. But the fact that the Federal Bureau of Investigation appears to have reopened its probe into the matter after having absolved Clinton earlier has surcharged the Republican and Trump campaign, itself buffeted by scandals pertaining to its principal over his treatment of women.
“The lack of enthusiasm amongst Republicans is remarkable”, said Joshua Blank, who supervised the poll.
The biggest problem. Though, is that many Republicans have accepted the possibility of a Trump defeat, they are now anxious that Trump could make them lose the Senate to Democrats on November 8, with the possibility of losing the House during the mid-term elections in two years. Sure, many Republicans will hold their noses and vote for Trump because he’s at the top of the ticket for a party they love. They can talk about the nation’s highest court instead of their party’s nominee.
The pro-Clinton Priorities USA raised $18 million in 19 days. Several studies have looked at this with mixed results from “yes, online polls show Trump stronger because there are no live interviewers” to “no, when asked in different ways, people still exhibit the same level of support for Trump”.
At each stop, Trump’s supporters cheered loudly and chanted “lock her up” when the NY businessman talked about Clinton’s new headache, a sign that his boosters see the importance of some good news for his campaign with 10 days left until the November 8 election. And within that group, only about a third say they will vote for him, with about a third supporting Clinton and the remainder supporting third party candidates.
“He should fight it all the way”, said George Smith, 51, a Trump supporter from Roswell, Georgia. Among those same voters, 86 percent said Clinton would be a bad president.
The survey found that while Clinton has steadily increased her share of the vote, from 39 percent in CNU’s September 26 tracking poll to 46 percent in the iteration out today, Trump has rebounded. Those voters dumped on Trump: 86 percent said he would be bad.
It’s an objective that really matters in Virginia’s 10th Congressional District, where Republican incumbent Barbara Comstock faces Democrat LuAnn Bennett in one of the most closely contested House races in the country. However, our presidential vote question has nearly 20 percent of likely voters saying they are undecided, would vote third party or would not vote. Now that the honeymoon is over and media scrutiny is on him and exposing things about him he never thought could be done, the “low life” media are the scum of the earth as far as Trump is concerned. They questioned 650 likely North Carolina voters from October 27 to October 28, with a margin of error of plus or minus 3.8 percentage points.
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Seven in 10 Trump supporters say voter fraud occurs at least somewhat often, including 34 percent who think it happens “very often”.
