According to the Siena poll, Trump has an 18-point lead over his nearest rival and is drawing big support in New York City.
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The two presidential candidates who call New York State home are, not surprisingly, leading their opponents among registered Democrats and Republicans.
In a Republican primary, the poll shows 34 percent would vote for Trump.
Fifty-seven percent of respondents said they would vote for Clinton if the primary was held immediately, while 28 percent said they would vote for U.S. Sen. “And I think when Republicans and independents learn more about Bernie Sanders, were he to become the nominee, I think you’d see that fall off a little bit”, Greenberg predicted. Sanders is the only other presidential candidate whose overall favorable rating, 51 percent, was greater than his unfavorable. 34 percent of state Republicans prefer Donald Trump, compared to 16 percent for Marco Rubio and Ted Cruz.
To put this in context, New Hampshire Republicans express a similar level of commitment as Iowa Republicans did in the poll Monmouth took shortly before that state’s caucuses last week.
As a result, 15 percent of Democratic primary voters have not made a final decision about who they will support on primary day, while 4 percent of Republican voters could not say who they would vote for if the election were held today.
“Volatility is the name of the game in 2016’s first primary contest, just as it was in the first caucus state last week”.
Against potential Republican challengers, the closest for Clinton is Florida Sen. Trump actually does slightly better with electability voters (33%) than shared values voters (25%), but he still leads the field among both groups.
The poll surveyed 608 registered voters between January 30 and February 6, and it’s worth noting the poll would have concluded before Rubio’s repetitive mishap in Saturday night’s debate cost him some negative headlines.
Sixty percent of likely voters said they were completely devoted to their candidate choice.
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Sanders supporters and undecided voters were asked about the possibility of them actually voting for Clinton on Tuesday. The poll was conducted by the Monmouth University Polling Institute in West Long Branch, NJ.
