Hillary Clinton holds a lead in four key battleground states, according to an NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll released Friday. In July, Clinton lead 44%-37%.
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There is a plus or minus margin of error of 3.3 percentage points in Colorado, Florida and Virginia.
If recent polling is any indication, it’s not just Donald Trump’s campaign hopes that are falling apart – Republican Senate candidates are also starting to panic. In Colorado, she is 14 points ahead at 46 to 32 percent.
“These are supposed to be battleground states, but right now, they don’t look that way”, said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion.
Mark Murray of NBC News says that if this poll is accurate, Trump has no path to victory. In a four-way race, Clinton’s leads dip slightly to 12 in Virginia and Colorado, but remain unchanged in Florida and North Carolina. Prior to the conventions, she maintained an eight point advantage, 43 percent to 35 percent.
For the objective of thought experimentation (and Friday afternoon fun!), let’s be exceedingly generous and say that national polls tighten to within the margin of error and Trump is able to win all of the Romney 2012 states plus Florida, Ohio, Iowa, and Nevada. There is plus or minus margin of error of 3.2 percentage points in North Carolina.
And if you throw in New Hampshire and give Clinton every battleground state in which she now leads by double digits in the most recent poll, she’s already won with 273 electoral votes.
But there is some good news for Republican incumbents. The Manhattan billionaire even acknowledged Thursday that he was facing “a tremendous problem” in Utah, a state that has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968, and that he was “a little further off” in Pennsylvania. Pat McCrory is down by seven points to Democratic challenger Roy Cooper, 51 percent to 44 percent.
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Finally, President Obama’s job-approval rating among registered voters stands at 53 percent in Colorado, 49 percent in Florida, 50 percent in North Carolina and 52 percent in Virginia.
