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Trump up 4 percent over Cruz
“Half of American voters say they’d be embarrassed to have Donald Trump as their commander-in-chief and most Americans think he doesn’t have a good chance in November, but there he is, still at the top of the Republican heap”, Tim Malloy, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University poll, said in a statement. If they start dropping out, it could allow voter – come the New Year – to focus on the real contenders.
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Cruz has been steadily climbing and overtaking Trump in Iowa, and there is some evidence that the Texas senator is managing to perform similarly nationally. In a head-to-head with Democrats, Trump would lose to either leading candidate, Vermont Sen.
The most telling part of the experiment, however, was that not all types of people responded the same way.
The findings are a blow to Trump’s campaign after months of dominating the polls.
Ted Cruz’s supporters are a little less firmly decided, and more say they “probably won’t change”, as opposed to being decided.
Earlier this fall, Carson had pulled into a tie for the lead with Trump, but has since faded.
Cruz is closing in on him, and now has 24 percent to Trump’s 28 percent. Their last pre-debate poll showed Trump at 27 percent, Rubio at 17 percent and Carson and Cruz both at 16 percent.
The poll indicated that voters may now be giving Chris Christie the second look he’s been asking for, as he’s nosed into fifth place at six percent.
On candidate qualities: Marco Rubio’s support appears to be helped by those saying he is electable, as nine in ten of his supporters feel he is.
The study, published Monday by Morning Consult, found that Trump fares about six percentage points better among likely Republican voters in online polls than when a pollster is speaking by phone to a live human being.
But in most polls, Trump’s national lead has stretched to new heights, with some recent surveys showing that more than 40 percent of Republican voters would support him today. Republicans favor the idea of banning Muslims – 77 percent in Iowa – including evangelical voters who also favor it in the same large numbers – 75 percent.
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Meanwhile, 47% of independents said they would be “embarrassed” by Trump compared to 44% Republicans said they would be “proud” of him.