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Trump up 4 points over Cruz in Quinnipiac poll
A Fox News poll taken similarly after the debate showed Trump with 39% support. His comments at the fundraiser, an audio copy of his remarks obtained by The New York Times, were the first time he said them in the context of Trump and neurosurgeon Ben Carson. “Quelling an insurgency like Trump’s may require college-educated Republicans, who are now fractured four ways, to unite behind a single candidate while non-degree-holders splinter”. Or, you can select a more-sensible candidate – and keep your Trump crush to yourself. Ted Cruz is snapping at his heels. Former Carson backers re-interviewed this month reported moving more to Cruz than Trump; of the Iowans re-contacted who had supported Carson in November and left him, almost half – 47 percent – went to Cruz and 37 percent to Trump. Presumably, the two candidates can’t profit equally from the Trump insult machine forever, but that’s a question for after the holidays.
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As most Iowa Republicans say terrorism and security are their number-one criteria for judging a candidate, Trump and Cruz are running even among them.
Quinnipiac’s national polling has consistently shown lower support for Donald Trump than other national phone polls, and that seems to be the case again in Tuesday’s survey.
As for the GOP front-runner, Bloomberg points out that the latest controversy “pits him squarely against Clinton for a pre-Christmas news cycle before voters tune out for the holidays, creating a veneer that the two are already nominees facing off in a general election”. But not only does the poll find Trump losing to the former secretary of state by 7 points if the election were held today, it also finds him losing to Democratic Socialist Sen.
“They are going to people showing videos of Donald Trump insulting Islam and Muslims in order to recruit more radical jihadists”, she said.
Trump has 28 percent of the GOP pack, with Sen. Trump’s campaign responded this week by insisting that as president, he wouldn’t kill journalists: “I hate some of these people, but I’d never kill them, “he said”. And he’s now in second place nationally with 18 percent on average-up 11 points since Halloween. Evidence for that includes the large crowds he’s been attracting and the huge viewership numbers for the Republican debates: 13 million to 24 million, far above the previous record of 8 million.
About 57 percent of respondents were registered voters, with those evenly divided among Democrats, Republicans and independents. Among those without degrees, 46% back Trump, the same share as in November. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) Cruz is attempting to consolidate the conservative and evangelical Christian wings of the party, and said he envisions a showdown with Rubio, who would represent so-called establishment Republicans.
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The CNN/ORC poll was conducted by telephone December 17-21 among a random national sample of 1,018 adults. The survey includes 508 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 4.4 percentage points.