Reflecting the unusual nature of the campaign, two-thirds of voters say they’re more interested in watching the debates this year than in previous election cycles.
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It’s a dead heat in the Sunshine State between Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump. “He is getting 14 percent from OH voters and how that cohort eventually votes could be critical in this swing state and in the nation”, Brown said.
The poll showed the two candidates tied at 47 percent in Florida, while Trump has a slim 46 percent to 45 percent lead over Clinton in Ohio. Her case has been bolstered by numerous Republican national security experts who have spoken out against their party’s nominee, including former Defense Secretary William Cohen who announced his support for Clinton on Wednesday.
Asked if Trump has made the GOP more welcoming to Latinos or more hostile or had no effect, 61 percent said more hostile, 12 percent said more welcoming and 16 percent said he had no effect.
Clinton’s post-convention bump has dwindled as of late, with national polls showing an increasingly tight race.
Nate Silver, the guru of American electoral statistics, said the central question is “whether the race has settled into a four-point Clinton lead, as the polls have it now, or is continuing to trend toward Trump”.
Most voters see Clinton’s family foundation, which has come under sharp criticism from Trump over how donors to the foundation interacted with Clinton while she was secretary of state, as an organization that should be shuttered if Clinton is elected to avoid possible conflict of interest, with a sizable share saying it should be closed down now.
That puts Trump below the 39 percent Mitt Romney drew in 2012. “Trump is getting just 25 percent from minority voters, while Clinton gets just 26 percent of white men”. She is marginally more popular than Trump, he pointed out. But a survey released Thursday by Quinnipiac University suggests her advantage may be slightly narrower; that poll found her ahead by 5 percentage points.
In Florida, the Quinnipiac poll surveyed 761 voters with a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points; 751 North Carolina voters with a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points; 775 OH voters with a margin of error of 3.5 percentage points; and 778 Pennsylvania voters, also with a margin of error of 3.6 percentage points.
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The real estate mogul must win a number of battleground states where victory is far from assured – Iowa, Virginia, New Hampshire, Ohio, Florida and North Carolina.
