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U.S. Producer Prices Unexpectedly Drop 0.4% In October
WND also reported in September that Deutsche Bank, the European Union’s biggest bank, warned the Federal Reserve that a rise in USA interest rates would amount to a “premeditated controlled demolition” that could cause global stock markets to collapse as much as 40 percent.
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Dudley, who is the president of the NY Fed and has a permanent vote on the Fed’s policy setting committee, believes that the decision still required a lot of “deep thinking” because of the risk that the U.S government is facing is chronically slower growth and low inflation that would justify continued low rates.
Confidence among traders skyrocketed after the recent rebound in Chinese equities and robust USA job market data, spurring U.S. Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen to testify on November 4 to the House Financial Services Committee that a move next month is a “live possibility”.
“The next time around we are going to have a very serious problem”, Rogers said in an interview with Barron’s, published this week.
Morgan Stanley strategist Ian Stannard pointed to the impact on risk of higher Fed rates, a stronger dollar, and resulting lower commodity prices, as one factor that may feed back to support the euro.
No change in coverage is anticipated from the Financial institution of Japan on Friday but it surely may ease financial coverage additional early subsequent yr, in keeping with practically half the analysts surveyed by Reuters, as shopper costs fall wanting central financial institution forecasts.
US retail sales increased a weaker-than-expected 0.1% in October from the month before.
There were no fewer than six Fed officials speaking yesterday and offering a range of views on the Fed’s interest rate hiking intentions.
“While the dollar’s appreciation and foreign weakness have been a sizable shock, the US economy appears to be weathering them reasonably well, notwithstanding their large effects on certain sectors of the economy heavily exposed to global trade”, the Fed vice chairman said. Despite having risen above their average for October, claims are not too far from levels last seen in the early 1970s. Cable is broadly unchanged at $1.522.
“The fundamentals supporting domestic demand look quite sturdy”, Dudley said.
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Gold bullion priced in Euros also fell Thursday but less steeply, touching 5-week lows just above €1000 per ounce and still showing a 2.5% gain for 2015 to date. But they emphasized that they wanted to move slowly and cautiously because the economy remains unusually weak. “Monetary policy has played a key role in achieving these outcomes through deferring liftoff relative to what was expected a little over a year ago”. The so-called core PPI was up 0.4 percent in the 12 months through October. I will be evaluating the incoming information to see if it confirms my expectation that growth will be sufficient to further tighten the US labor market.