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US Fed leaves rates unchanged, expects inflation to rise this year

This assessment will take into account a wide range of information, including measures of labour market conditions, indicators of inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and readings on financial and worldwide developments.

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April Comex Gold futures settled at $1343.10, up $3.10 or +0.23%.

Other parts of the Fed statement were little changed from the December meeting.

Rudings said a lot of the greenback’s recent weakness has been about market positioning, with some investors more enamoured with Europe’s plans to wind back quantitative easing.

Elsewhere, the aussie tumbled briefly during the Asian trading session, after Australia’s inflation prints for the fourth quarter disappointed.

The Fed also repeated that it expected “further gradual” rate hikes were warranted. Nonetheless, aussie/dollar managed to recover nearly all of its CPI-related losses in the following hours.

In the USA it’s expected to be a similar story with ISM manufacturing expected to come in at 58.7, slightly down from December’s 59.7, though particular attention should be focussed on prices paid which is still estimated to be up in the high 60’s, at 68.3, down from 69.

On Thursday, investors will get the opportunity to react to a slew of US economic report. The numbers will go public at 1000 GMT, at the same time that the eurozone’s unemployment rate for the month of December will be released. Hiring has boomed. And unemployment is at a 17-year low. There has been a small correction since the movements with the rates returning to more range bound levels, however it does feel like another spike is not too far away.

The Federal Reserve two-day meeting is the last of Janet Yellen’s tenure as Fed chair.

The Fed left the interest rate unchanged as widely expected but did make subtle hawkish changes in Yellen’s last rate decision.

Chief U.S. economist, Kevin Logan, made a statement, “They’re more confident in their expectations of rising inflation”.

In fact, overnight, the ADP private jobs sector survey reported 234,00 new jobs in January while the expert economists tipped only 185,000. And the company reporting season in the United States has helped this positivity.

Core PCE rose 0.2% on a monthly basis when forecasters had only expected a 0.1% increase. This compares to a drawdown of around 1.1m barrels in the week that preceded.

Equity markets are torn between buoyant economic growth and double-digit company earnings, on the one hand, and the possibility that U.

For the month the S&P 500 was up around 5.6%, the Dow 5.8% and the Nasdaq 7.4%, while the ASX 200 lost half a per cent. Rather than being subject to the cryptic vagaries of a single policymaker as they were under Alan Greenspan, market expectations are now much more systematically and coherently guided.

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However, another failed attempt to close above 1.2430 (50% expansion) raises the risk for a near-term pullback as the bullish momentum appears to be abating, with the first downside area of interest coming in around 1.2230 (50% retracement) followed by the 1.2130 (50% retracement) region.

Relief to market ahead of Budget 2018 as US Fed leaves rates unchanged