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Weak GDP may spur interest rate cut: economist

The Canadian economy stalled in October, while retail sales rose less than expected, the latest signs that the country was struggling to regain momentum shortly after emerging from a mild recession.

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He said the new numbers pushed him to revise BMO’s Q4 growth rate from 1.5% to a “micro” 0.5% annualized rate.


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While the mining, oil and gas sectors managed to post 0.7% growth, those gains were offset by declines in other areas of the economy. Although growth resumed in the third quarter, the final quarter has had a weak start.


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Data released Wednesday (December) by Statistics Canada revealed the economy did not grow at all throughout October.

But that was offset by a 0.3 percent decline in manufacturing and a 1.4 percent drop in the utilities sector due to declines in natural gas distribution.

Canada’s economy didn’t grow in October, and that has analysts wondering if the central bank could be eyeing another cut to its key lending rate. Market expectations were for a 0.2% rise.

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Total retail sales increased by a seasonally adjusted 0.1%, compared to forecasts for a 0.4% gain, after falling 0.4% in September. Core sales fell by 0.4% in the prior month.

The latest ideas on improving the environmental performance of Alberta's oilsands are being presented at a conference in Edmonton. THE CANADIAN PRESS  Je