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What BJP’s victories can teach other parties

The minister further said the strategic alliance between the BJP, AGP and the BPF highlighted this historical blunder of the Congress.

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Dhaka: Stunned by the thumping victory of BJP in the Assam state elections, Bangladesh has today demanded that elections should be held again in the state.

In the same vein, in Kerala yesterday, the CPM won 58 seats with 26.5% vote while the congress, despite being just a fraction lower than CPM with 23.7% votes, actually won less than half the seats with 22. Indeed, by polling almost 10.7% of the popular vote in Kerala this time, the BJP has not only improved upon its 2011 performance but has also marginally increased its vote share beyond the 10.3% that the “Modi wave” generated in the 2014 Lok Sabha elections.

Back in 2014, though, the BJP’s claims of seriously looking at Assam as a state it wanted to win seemed a bit like what Shakespeare called Macbeth’s “over-vaulting ambition”. He said, the party is already a part of two coalition governments in the North East and have made a sizeable seat and vote presence in West Bengal.

The government’s failure to push through key reforms is partly because of its own inability to create consensus, and partly because an opposition, led by the Congress party, has relentlessly created obstructions in parliament.

“BJP should not be over-enthusiastic with its victory in assembly elections”.

Despite a recent apparent fall in vote share, from 17.02% in 2014 to 10.2% in 2016, the BJP entered the West Bengal assembly for the second time, winning three seats-its best. In West Bengal it won only six seats in the 294-member house.

Half full: First ever seat in the Kerala Assembly for BJP. In West Bengal and Tamil Nadu, it swallowed its pride and went in as a junior partner to the Left Front and the DMK but failed to come to power in either state. The BJP is not only the central pivot of the nation’s politics but its base has expanded to every nook and corner of the country. If the trends revealed by the elections to West Bengal and four other states are anything to go by, BJP’s expectations can not be too high.

On the other hand, Jaitley said the assembly elections mark a significant geographical expansion for the BJP. Vijayan, virtually controls the CPM in Kerala.

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Wasnik, who was also incharge of party affairs in TN, Kerala and Puducherry, said it was not possible to immediately identify the causes for the losses in these states. Now it controls just one of India’s larger states, the southern state of Karnataka, and a handful of relatively small states including Pondicherry where it will share power with a regional party.

Arun Jaitley